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Suburbia is Subsidized: Here's the Math [ST07]

Not Just Bikes5 HN recommenders · recommended in 5 months, 2022–2026
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explainer · general · evergreen · 2022–2026 on HN

Not Just Bikes explains, using Urban3's property-tax analysis, why car-dependent suburbs generate less tax revenue than they cost to maintain, so dense urban cores effectively subsidize them. It is part of a Strong Towns series.

The go-to link in urban planning threads for the claim that suburban infrastructure costs more per resident than it pays back.

12 comments from Hacker News

@gpvos2026-02 · in “The United States needs fewer bus stops”

Well, you're parking it in other places as well, I assume, unless you're only making pleasure rides with no stops at all. I am speaking more generally than just about your particular situation, which I obviously don't know. But in case you live in an American suburb: their entire financial setup is unsound, which arguably means even your own ground is subsidized. I find the arguments of Strong Towns and Not Just Bikes quite compelling: ▶ this video .

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@rglullis2025-09 · in “Why, as a responsible adult, SimCity 2000 hits differently”

No, suburbs cost more per capita than people living in the inner city, generate less tax revenue and end up becoming a net negative to municipalities: ▶ this video The whole series of videos from Strong Towns are good, you should take a look: link

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@jwestbury2023-06 · in “U.S. pedestrian deaths reach a 40-year high”

Curious, have you considered the in-between here? Consider medium-density European cities, which still have massively higher density suburbs, but rarely the density -- combined employment and population densities -- of the urban core of most American cities. I hated living in Seattle, but I'm now an American finding I enjoy living in London. I walk around trees and birds every day, because I have good park access, and I can walk to them without having to worry about car traffic. For what it's worth, by the way, you almost certainly AREN'T willing to pay for the infrastructure that supports you: Suburbs are almost overwhelmingly economically supported by cities. I hate NotJustBikes (his self-righteous attitude is just awful), but he does have a great video on this: ▶ this video

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@uoaei2023-01 · in “CA Cities to Lose All Zoning Powers in 2 Days”

If we taxed suburbs by how much they actually drain city budgets, no one would want to live in suburbs. It is by now a well-studied fact that suburbs are effectively subsidized by metropolitan cores. Makers and takers, indeed... Here's a video about some of the studies done to come to this conclusion: ▶ this video The folks at Strong Towns also talk a lot about productive land use measured as property tax income per square foot. They say it is the gold standard way to make sure your budget remains solvent and you can provide the services people need to make your city thrive. Obviously this means building up.

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@downrightmike2022-10 · in “Office vacancy rate in San Francisco just hit a new high”

Because "Office Vacancy Rate in San Francisco Just Hit a New High", That means property owners aren't making money. Workers aren't out spending to come in, stay and leave. All that is taxable, which is why government officials want people back in the office. In every city, the downtown core's tax revenue subsidizes the suburban sprawl all around it. Good overview of the research on this: ▶ this video

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