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The Psychology of Human Misjudgement - Charlie Munger Full Speech

BuffettMungerWisdom6 HN recommenders · recommended in 6 months, 2014–2023
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talk · general · evergreen · 2014–2023 on HN

Audio of Charlie Munger's 1995 Harvard speech on the psychology of human misjudgment, laying out a framework of cognitive biases and mental models for decision making. It covers factors like incentives, social proof and denial.

HN regards it as a classic to revisit every few years for improving decisions and self-awareness.

7 comments from Hacker News

@cainxinth2023-11 · in “Charlie Munger has died”

As billionaires go, he seemed unusually down to earth. I listen to his lecture on "The Psychology of Human Misjudgement" every few years: ▶ this video

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@cs7022020-08 · in “Ask HN: What are some available force multipliers that most people don't know?”

Develop an intuitive understanding of the key mental models mentioned by Charlie Munger in his classic speech given to a Harvard class 25 years ago: "The Psychology of Human Misjudgment," by Charlie Munger ▶ this video link If I may paraphrase Mr. Munger, you never want to be a one-legged man in the ass-kicking contest of life.

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@eigenvalue2016-07 · in “The Psychology of Human Misjudgment (2005) [pdf]”

You can also listen to him giving this speech here: ▶ this video I revisit this material every couple years. It's so easy to fall into these traps in your thinking.

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@rasz_pl2016-06 · in “Johann Wolfgang von Goethe, Amateur Auction Theorist”

Unless you enjoy misery, trolling, and derive satisfaction from forcing other people to make stupid decisions. Personally I'm more than happy losing a bid if I make someone else suffer winner's curse just because they are blinded by escalation of commitment and a long list of other biases. One of my favourite speeches touching on the subject: The Psychology of Human Misjudgement - Charlie Munger Full Speech bit about auctions is at 59:30 ▶ this video text link

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@melling2018-05 · in “Scientists think the cell nucleolus may play an important role in aging”

It’s not a rule but an observation. We can certainly become more self-aware and change our behavior. Munger’s Psychology of human misjudgment, for instance, is enlightening: ▶ this video

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