Why was Biden's win calculated to be ONE IN A QUADRILLION?
Stand-up Maths1 HN recommender · recommended in 1 month, 2020–2024
explainer · general · 2020–2024 on HN
Matt Parker of Stand-up Maths examines the Texas Supreme Court filing claiming Biden's 2020 win had a one-in-a-quadrillion chance. He walks through why the statistical argument is flawed.
Cited as a mathematician's debunking of numerical claims of 2020 election fraud.
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3 comments from Hacker News
I am replying for the sake of the hidden sibling comment: I don't watch any major media coverage of politics, but a mathematician and comedian I follow on YouTube (from a different country who presumably has no horse in the race) has analyzed some of the numerical allegations of fraud: - ▶ this video - link - link
There were some pretty shit analysises of the 2020 US elections that Matt Parker covered with videos like "Why do Biden's votes not follow Benford's law?"[1] and "Why was Biden's win calculated to be 1 in 1,000,000,000,000,000?"[2]. I don't know about other countries, but the amount of data that every county in every US state produces makes systematic fraud pretty much impossible. If there's literally only 3 numbers produced by the Venezuelan government, you need to be seriously incompetent to have detectable fraud because techniques like Benford's or Zipf's law need lots of individual numbers. [1]: link [2]: ▶ this video
> Can you link me to those majority of cases? link link And this third one just shows how much of a joke some of the claims in the lawsuits are: ▶ this video Like, this is basic high school level statistics they can't even get right.