Flipping 10 heads in a row: Full video
singingbananaCited 3× on HN, 2015–2022
demo · general · evergreen · 2015–2022 on HN
Mathematician singingbanana shows how he flipped ten heads in a row, with the full uncut video and answers to viewers' questions. The point is that unlikely events happen given enough attempts.
Used as a reference for the perseverance behind improbable streaks and selective reporting of best runs.
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3 comments from Hacker News
Spot-on predictions! If I predict this coin flip will be heads, and I flip it, and it is heads… does that mean I can predict coin flips? What if I do it three times in a row? What if I do it 10 times in a row? [1] [1]: ▶ this video
It's a little worse than that as there are vast incentives to be that guy with 20 heads so people will record themselves fillping coins over and over then only talk about their best streak. Thus you end up with most companies having an 'above average' streak in a given year even if the average investment does poorly. ▶ this video
▶ this video Not that hard to do. Just a matter of perseverance and a bit of luck. Yes, it could be faked, but I trust him.